The market appears to be at a turning point at midyear. With 4.1 million people fully vaccinated in the state, more workers are returning to offices. Physical occupancies remain low but are picking up with each passing week. Numerous employers are expecting their workforce back after Labor Day, suggesting that Boston will start to feel more like Boston again by the end of next quarter. Negative absorption continued, though at a much more muted level in Q2; sublease space growth is stabilizing, and recent commitments and LOIs suggest that it will start to turn in short order. Rents held quarter-over-quarter, while vacancies ended Q2 at 15.8%, a 4.9-percentage-point increase from one year ago.
The office market in Cambridge and the suburbs is growing in fits and starts, as is typical in the early stages of a recovery. Suburban vacancies ticked up by 0.7 percentage points in Q2, while they fell by 0.3 percentage points in Cambridge. Over the past year, vacancies grew by 2.4 percentage points in the suburbs and by 3.8 percentage points in Cambridge, growth in both substantially more stable than in Boston. Rents in both markets continue to hold up, increasing by 1.5% in the suburbs and by 5.1% in Cambridge over the past year. Sublease space increased this quarter, after falling in Q1.
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